Four years after Ethiopia’s government and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front signed an African Union-brokered agreement, the settlement faces its most serious test yet. The danger is no longer simply the collapse of the Pretoria Agreement, but the possibility that Ethiopia’s separate regional conflicts could converge.

By Segun Adeyemi

The argument against established international institutions is often made, but the case for their replacements is rarely tested. Three Sahel states are leaving the International Criminal Court and West Africa’s main regional bloc. But the real test is whether the new Sahel alliance can produce genuine institutional capacity.

By Segun Adeyemi

The competition for Africa has intensified, but the autonomy of its governments has not increased with it. They have more diplomatic partners, more competing investors, and more geopolitical attention than at any point since the Cold War. What that abundance has yet to deliver is the power to set terms.

By Segun Adeyemi

Europe made Morocco its southern border guard. It funds Moroccan border control and relies on Rabat to stop migrants before they reach Spain. Yet Europe also keeps pulling Morocco closer, buying over half of its exports and hiring its people to fill jobs.

By Segun Adeyemi

South Africa has spent decades building its standing as a global power. It is a member of BRICS and the G20, and it has long campaigned for a permanent seat on the UN Security Council. Anti-migrant violence at home now threatens the very foundation of those ambitions.

By Segun Adeyemi

Senegal’s debt crisis began with a startling discovery. When the new government opened the books in 2024, public accounts had a far bigger hole than expected. Audits exposed large discrepancies in previously reported public finances.

By Segun Adeyemi

As instability in the Red Sea continues to disrupt global shipping and force companies to reassess supply-chain risks, East Africa is drawing renewed attention as a trade and logistics gateway between Africa, the Gulf, and Asia. Its ports and inland corridors are becoming increasingly valuable to firms and investors seeking resilient supply chains.

By Segun Adeyemi

For decades, the term “blood diamonds” has shaped global perceptions of the diamond trade, particularly in countries like Sierra Leone. Emerging from the civil conflicts of the late 20th century, the concept framed the industry around violence, illicit finance, and weak governance. It also catalyzed international action through the Kimberley Process.

By Segun Adeyemi

The decision by a Belgian court to allow criminal proceedings over the 1961 assassination of Patrice Lumumba marks more than a delayed legal reckoning. It reflects a shift in political leverage, as the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) gains new grounds to challenge European influence and assert a more autonomous position.

By Segun Adeyemi

The ongoing war between the United States, Israel, and Iran is rapidly reshaping geopolitical calculations far beyond the Middle East. Across Africa, governments are navigating a delicate diplomatic environment, balancing strategic partnerships, domestic political sensitivities, and economic vulnerabilities.

By Segun Adeyemi

AR

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Segun Adeyemi

Segun Adeyemi

Ethiopia’s Unfinished Peace

The Sahel’s Test of Institutional Sovereignty

Escaping Africa’s Multipolar Trap

Europe’s Moroccan Migration Bargain

The Cost of South Africa’s Xenophobia Crisis

Senegal’s Debt Crisis Becomes Political

East Africa’s Corridor Moment

Beyond Blood Diamonds: New Market Barriers

Justice and Empire: Lumumba’s Enduring Shadow

Diplomatic Tightrope: Africa and the Iran Conflict

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