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Russia has turned Belarus into an integral platform for its war on Ukraine. The Lukashenko regime sends no soldiers, yet Belarusian roads, factories, and airspace serve the operation. That military restraint also creates an opening, and Washington is now testing whether engagement can widen Minsk’s room for maneuver from Moscow.

Testing Russia’s Quiet Ally
Putin talks to Lukashenko during a summit of the Eurasian Economic Union. AFP

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) provided Qatar with direct guarantees that any Iranian military strike carried out on Qatari territory would be limited to Al Udeid Air Base, according to sources familiar with the matter who spoke to Eagle Intelligence Reports.

The Lebanese Army is expressing reservations over any direct coordination with Israeli forces, while Berri and the Islamic Group move to restrict the implementation track of the U.S.-backed agreement and prevent its domestic repercussions.

As Washington continues military operations against Iran, the debate over the campaign is shifting from the scale of the damage inflicted to the question of what would follow if the Islamic Republic’s ruling structure were to collapse.

The guns fell silent in Iran after a 60-day ceasefire was called on June 17 via a Memorandum of Understanding. But the pause should not be mistaken for peace. Given the repeated infractions, the ceasefire now looks less like a meaningful end to hostilities and more like a period of military regeneration under diplomatic cover.

Eurasia is absorbing a series of strategic shocks. Russia is mired in its war in Ukraine. Israel and the United States have fought a war with Iran. A decades-long Armenia–Azerbaijan conflict has ended, and a new confrontation between Afghanistan and Pakistan looms.

China and Russia have spent decades trying to open the Tumen River. North Korea continues to stand in their way. In May, Xi and Putin pledged to advance Chinese navigation through the border river, giving Beijing its strongest backing yet. The declaration reflects China’s ambition to secure direct access to the Sea of Japan.

Several Spanish entities are working to build a judicial pathway toward a criminal investigation of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, sources familiar with the effort told Eagle Intelligence Reports. The effort centers on Sánchez’s role in the Spanish government’s 2021 $61 million rescue of Plus Ultra Líneas Aéreas.

Over the past decade, China played the long game in Europe, and for years it drew little response. Piece by piece, Chinese firms bought into the continent’s ports, railways, and logistics networks, each deal looking like ordinary commerce. But together they formed something else: a strategic map drawn in concrete and steel.

Despite transformations in modern warfare and the rise of drones and autonomous systems, the United Kingdom continues to allocate the bulk of its defense budget to conventional fighter jet development, seeking to balance future demands with the need to maintain its industrial capabilities and defense commitments.

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Geopolitical Analysis & Global Security Intelligence | Eagle Intelligence Reports

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