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The deployment of a second U.S. aircraft carrier strike group to the Middle East marks a strategic inflection point in the unfolding U.S.–Iran confrontation. The buildup now includes destroyers, additional strike aircraft and reinforced air defenses. While it does not make war inevitable, the buildup significantly widens the spectrum of escalation pathways.

Escalation Scenarios in a Widening U.S.-Iran Crisis
The US aircraft carrier USS Gerald Ford transiting the Strait of Gibraltar. AFP

Lebanon’s Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri has urged former Prime Minister Saad Hariri to return to national politics, expressing concerns about the Sunni leadership vacuum in the country’s parliament. According to an informed source, Speaker Berri visited Hariri on Saturday. During the meeting, Berri pledged his full support to Hariri and his Future Movement party.

The United States is leading a diplomatic push aimed at engineering a Moroccan–Algerian reconciliation as part of a broader effort to resolve the long-running Western Sahara conflict, according to a Western diplomatic source. Peace talks over Western Sahara began in Madrid last week in a renewed push to resolve the half-century-old frozen conflict.

For much of the post-Cold-War era, Greenland existed at the margins of strategic thought. Immense in scale yet negligible in population, the island appeared to confirm the 1990s prevailing assumption: geography had been eclipsed by markets, institutions, and technology as the primary drivers of power. Ice-covered landmasses seemed more symbolic than consequential.

Federal inaction on AI regulation has produced a patchwork of state AI laws, undermining U.S. competitiveness and threatening the country’s leadership of a potentially civilization-defining technology. Since 2024, more than 145 AI-related laws have been enacted at the state level, with Colorado, California, Texas, and Utah adopting divergent regulations.

The capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro by U.S. special forces has altered Kim Jong Un’s strategic calculus by collapsing the distinction between wartime and peacetime threats to regime survival. For Pyongyang, the nuclear deterrent no longer functions as a bargaining chip, but rather as a core instrument of regime survival.

The world just witnessed another high-intensity, live-fire Chinese military exercise around Taiwan. The dispute over the island represents one of the most serious risks of another great-power war. Even if unsuccessful, a Chinese attack against Taiwan would risk nuclear escalation, global economic shock, and long-term degradation of international relations.

The Ukrainian political and military system stands at a critical juncture, as rival factions risk deepening internal divisions. Recent developments suggest that President Zelensky’s appointment of former military intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov as chief of staff was not merely an administrative change. It marked the beginning of a subtle but consequential redistribution of power.

For the first time since the Cold War, the US explicitly seeks to influence Europe’s internal political order. The Trump administration’s 2025 NSS does not merely criticize European policies or institutions but openly endorses nationalist parties as preferred partners. It thus reframes Europe’s conflicts as matters of strategic alignment.

For more than a decade, Warsh positioned himself as a dedicated inflation hawk in American monetary policy. However, Trump’s nomination of him to chair the Federal Reserve reveals a tendency to align with the White House’s agenda.

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Eagle Intelligence Reports
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