Rockets again pierce the sky across the Middle East as the fragile ceasefire in the war with Iran faces its most serious strain since April. The latest escalation comes as Israeli operations against Hezbollah-linked targets in southern Lebanon and Beirut’s southern suburbs provoke retaliatory Iranian rocket attacks on Israel.
Middle East War: Statistics
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Middle East War: Statistics
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Attacks
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An informed Lebanese source told Eagle Intelligence Reports that Lebanon’s President Joseph Aoun and the army command have agreed to reject a U.S. proposal to establish a special brigade within the Lebanese army, under Washington’s supervision, funding, and training, tasked with disarming Hezbollah.
Egyptian AMOUN air-defense batteries have been deployed to Saudi Arabia to help secure Red Sea energy routes amid rising regional threats. Intelligence and military sources revealed that Egypt has sent AMOUN air-defense batteries to Saudi Arabia to protect facilities and routes linked to Saudi oil exports via the Red Sea.
The U.S. is considering placing Hadi al-Amiri, secretary-general of Iraq’s Badr Organization, on its sanctions list this week, according to a U.S. source familiar with the deliberations. The move would be aimed at intensifying pressure on the government of Prime Minister Ali al-Zeidi after it secured parliamentary approval for only 14 cabinet portfolios.
Recent attacks on nuclear infrastructure suggest the emergence of a new form of calibrated coercion in which states generate psychological pressure and manipulate escalation dynamics without crossing the threshold into nuclear disaster. Attacks targeting nuclear infrastructure in Ukraine and the Middle East have expanded the scope of asymmetrical warfare.
Japan is entering the arms market through a narrow door. After decades of restraint, Tokyo is loosening its defense export rules—but not to become the next South Korea, China, or United States. The shift is less a bid for market share than a strategic adjustment shaped by Japan’s industrial history and built-in structural constraints.
The dual blockade in the Strait of Hormuz signals a shift in how power is exercised at sea. Geography is reasserting itself as a decisive variable in global affairs. The recent maritime coercion fits within a structural transformation in which control of strategic chokepoints has become an operational lever of coercion.
For the Kremlin, the Iran war is not primarily a Middle East crisis but rather a critical opportunity to capitalize on the strategic exhaustion of the Western coalition sustaining Ukraine. Despite Moscow’s deep ties with Tehran, the conflict is a chance to test the West’s capacity. But it also unfolds under conditions beyond Russia’s control.
Eva Gretzmacher’s health has deteriorated and entered a critical stage, prompting the Islamic State’s Sahel branch to sharply reduce the ransom demanded for the Austrian hostage to a symbolic amount. As per the African intelligence source, Gretzmacher’s captors fear she could die in captivity before any financial gain is extracted.
The U.S.–Israeli war on Iran entered its 100th day on Monday with renewed escalation after Tehran launched attacks on Tel Aviv in support of Hezbollah and in retaliation to routine Israeli violations of the ceasefire in Lebanon.
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