Nicoletta Kouroushi

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Nicoletta Kouroushi
Nicoletta Kouroushi
Nicoletta Kouroushi is a journalist and political analyst from Cyprus. She has worked with several research centers, including the Middle East Forum, and has published articles in international media outlets. Her work focuses on developments in the Eastern Mediterranean region.
Nicoletta_Kouroushi_author-eagle intelligence reports - politics - International Relations
Nicoletta Kouroushi

Nicoletta Kouroushi is a journalist and political analyst from Cyprus. She has worked with several research centers, including the Middle East Forum, and has published articles in international media outlets. Her work focuses on developments in the Eastern Mediterranean region.

French efforts to extend nuclear deterrence into a broader European architecture introduce additional strategic capability into the Eastern Mediterranean, but they do not stabilize regional security. They redistribute risk across a theater defined by dense military activity, overlapping jurisdictions, and weak escalation controls.

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The Red Sea is emerging as a second front in a dual-chokepoint crisis driven by the Iran war. The Hormuz Strait is operating under sustained disruption, placing pressure on a primary corridor of global trade, energy flows. Instability in the Red Sea extends pressure into a second maritime corridor, linking both into one operational system.

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Regional crises function as strategic signaling events within the global system characterized by intensifying multipolar competition. When major powers become directly involved in regional conflicts, their military actions and escalation decisions generate signals that are closely observed by other states assessing the broader balance of power.

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Israel’s strike on Iranian territory marks a structural rupture in the Israel–Iran deterrence framework. For over a decade, confrontation was geographically displaced and institutionally buffered through proxy networks, covert operations, and calibrated signaling, preserving escalation ceilings. Direct state-level exposure narrows the margin for controlled retaliation.

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Assad’s departure has altered Syria’s leadership landscape, but it has not translated into coherent state reconstitution. Political fragmentation has become structurally embedded in the post-Assad political order. Syria is not undergoing a conventional political transition. Rather, it is consolidating into a post-regime, pre-state environment.

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The ongoing dynamics in Tehran, from sustained domestic social tension and deepening economic crisis to evolving deterrence messaging amid continued diplomatic stagnation, should not be viewed as isolated episodes. Rather, they indicate a convergence of drivers that is reshaping both Iran’s internal resilience as well as its external posture shaped by international pressure.

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Israel’s recognition of Somaliland constitutes a significant step in its engagement with the Horn of Africa and the broader Red Sea security environment. While the move does not immediately alter the regional balance of power, it formalizes ties with a relatively stable political entity in one of the world’s most strategically sensitive maritime corridors.

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The contemporary global order is undergoing continuous fragmentation, driven by great-power competition and institutional erosion that are reshaping how power is exercised and contested. The gradual decline of rule-based multilateralism has produced an environment defined less by stability and more by fluidity, uncertainty, and overlapping spheres of influence.

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The recent 2025 agreement on the delimitation of the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) in the Mediterranean Sea between Cyprus and Lebanon put a definitive end to two decades of ambiguity surrounding the maritime borders of the two states.

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The geostrategic value of the Eastern Mediterranean has long drawn external powers seeking to assert influence, but the current phase marks a departure from past patterns. What was once determined by military posture and alliance structures has evolved into economic levers of influence through control over ports, supply chains, and critical infrastructure.

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